Fracking is so amazing (but not good news for tree huggers)

A recent article in "National Geographic" has the coverage of Bakken shale oil that the total tight shale oil production is now 1M barrel/day (Taiwan imports oil at 0.9M barrel/day). US advanced drilling technology is so amazing (3.2 km down the earth and another 3.2 km extended horizontally, known as fracking) that it begs the question that "Do we need the renewable energy in the next decade?"

Helicopter parenting may not be useful

I stumbled across a Harvard Professor's comment on the upbringing of children which leads to the following link. How much influence that parents can have on their children? Many parents, especially the helicopter parents, believe parenting is the dominant factor for the children in their formative years. (Business Week even has an article "South Korea Tries to Curb Parents's Education Spending" since conspicuous spending on education has slowed down the consumers' spending and, in turn, slower economic growth ensues). Some psychologists, including the author of the famous but controversial book, "The Nurture Assumption", raise the doubt about the influence of parenting on children achievements, which I tend to agree to some extent.

http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1881384,00.html

Kindle DX is not the forlorn orphan of Amazon any more

Glad to hear that Amazon has brought Kindle DX (9.7" e-reader) back to its store after being dormant for eight months. I have owned a Kindle DX for two and half years and always treat it a treasure trove of knowledge (through the download from calibre-ebook.com and magazine subscription)

Henry Ford, a monomaniacal auto industry icon

Just watched 2-hour PBS's coverage of the biography of Henry Ford, an auto industry icon. He rose from a farmer's son to a billionaire in 1920s, controlled 50% of US auto industry, sold car at $850 when Ford's rivals sold the car at more than $2,000, raised worker's daily salary from $2.40 to $5.00, reduced assembly time per car from 13 hours to 1.5 hours by his innovative assembly line, rolled out ubiquitous T-model at 1,000 cars/day (later to increase to 10,000 cars/day) and many other measures that transformed U.S. from sprawling farm livelihood to clustered urban livelihood. But to my surprise, Henry Ford was also featured by his acerbic anti-Semitic remarks, his egoist bigotry, his constant bullying his only son and his high-handed clamp-down against labor union. God never had any intention to create a perfect human being.

money = sin?

Rich people is more greedy, selfish and dishonest than poor people? It is probably true in a WSJ report. If you want to walk across a street without traffic light, the chance that driver of a cheap car stops to let you pass is 10 times higher than the driver in a BMW car. Rich people tend to cheat more than the poor people. Rich people even tend to steal more candies reserved for children than poor people. More money triggers more unethical behaviors for human beings?

Study: High Social Class Predicts Unethical Behavior

Monitor your vital signs through your smartphone

數年後, 很有可能你的智慧手機不再只是讀 email 或上網而已, 智慧手機可能會讓你更健康, 延續生命, 甚至警告你的器官 (例如心臟) 已經開始有一些不正常的跡象. 無線技術和微感應器的突飛猛進以及智慧手機的普及, 已經可以將你的大部分生命跡象和健康狀況 (血壓, 體溫,心跳, 心電圖, 血糖, BMI, 睡眠的品質, 孕婦的胎兒或子宮收縮監測等等 ) 全部即時地顯現在智慧手機上. 下面的17 分鐘 的精釆演講 (有中文翻譯字幕) by Dr. Eric Topol (一位知名心臟醫生) 闡述了無線電在醫療監測上的應用 (當然也代表這應用的無限商機和研究範圍). 這是2010 年的演講, 現在應已是更進步 (世界最大的手機晶片公司, Qualcomm, 已經開始投資手機在醫療上的應用)

艾瑞克‧托普: 醫學的無線未來 | Video on TED.com

lush green but waterlogged strawberry

Rain, a lot of rain in the first two weeks of June, 6 inches of rain in the first 12 days of June which is 4.1 inches above normal. The waterlogged soil caused a lot of revenue loss for the local farmers of pick-your-own business, especially the strawberry. (NJ ranks #1 in terms of percentage for the farm revenue of pick-your-own agriculture)

How much energy that we can enjoy from sun

How much energy that sun can give us as a free gift? I stumbled across a term, solar constant (=1361 Watt/m^2), which means the maximum energy density that sun can give us is 1361 Watt/m^2.  This term is associated with the energy that our rooftop solar panels can generate and probably any engineer that learned Planck's radiation law before should know how to calculate this 1361 W/m^2.   Since sun surface temperature can reach 5800K, it will generate 2.04e7 W/m^2/sr energy flux density.   The subtended angle from earth to sun is 0.53 deg.  Therefore, maximum power density that sun can give us is 2.04e7 *3.14 *sin(0.53/2)^2 = 1370 Watt/m^2 (God never allows sun to give us more energy density than this solar constant!)  However, at average 5500K sun surface temperature and consumer-grade silicon solar panel can absorb only 0.4-0.8 um wavelength, sun only emits 7.4e6 W/m^2/sr to silicon solar panels.    This implies that solar panel can best absorb 7.4e6 *3.14 *sin(0.53/2)^2 = 500 W/m^2.   At 20% efficiency, no wonder most of the rooftop solar panel can only generate 100 Watt/m^2 (i.e., 7% of solar constant).  That means for 10m^2 rooftop solar panel, it can only generate 1 kWh electricity per hour.

Solar-thermal renewable energy with 28,000 sun-equivalent brightness

Recent article in TIME has covered Ivanph, a solar-thermal project in California desert which can generate 14 億度/yr (臺灣的總電力裝置容量為每年2800億度, 核四每年240億度). It sprawls over 16 平方公里 with three gigantic solar towers, each with 150m height and 28,000 sun-equivalent brightness. In addition to 3 towers, it has 173,000 constantly adjustable mirrors, each with the size of garage door. Unlike solar-panels on the rooftop or wind-power farms, solar-thermal is a reliable renewable energy (if located in the year-round sun-drenched desert!). However, with price of solar-panels plummeting in recent years due to a glut of solar panels made in China, solar-thermal energy is still not as cost-effective as solar-panel energy, let alone the coal-fired power plant.

office building with robots and nothing but robots?

Picture this, 10 years from now, the office building is staffed only with security guards and a whole bunch of mobile autonomous robots, each with 21" LCD display that constantly shows your face and what you are doing at home. Everyone can work at home since there is always one robot incarnation in the office that represents you. You can navigate this incarnated robot to any room in the office building to join the meeting, to make presentation or even just to have casual watercooler conversation when you are physically at home. This is actually available now but way too expensive ($25k/yr to rent a robot). It's likely that it will be very popular in the years to come.

iRobot and Cisco Team Up to Create Ava 500 Telepresence Robot - IEEE Spectrum

spectrum.ieee.org

This robot knows how to drive itself around your office

Powerful boss may face comeuppance?

Powerful people are always undone by hubris? Probably it is true according to the study from the article in Economist. If you feel your boss is too arrogant or condescending, according to the study, he or she may face comeuppance. Former Intel's famous CEO, Andy Grove, had a sobering dictum: only the paranoid survive.

Who’s behind me?

www.economist.com

Everyone wants cheap U.S. natural gas

Every country wants to have U.S. cheap shale natural gas which is only 30% of Japan's cost (1 million BTU on the following chart is equal to 293度電) because of its advanced fracking technology. Taiwan's natural gas comprises 11.6% of total energy consumption and imported 12.8M MT (million-tonne) natural gas last year. U.S. has already exported 33.5M MT/yr natural gas to Mexico and Canada through pipes. Now US is building facilities to liquefy natural gas to -162C for export purpose. Its total export capacity can reach 27.4M MT/yr in the next few years to Japan, U.K, Spain, Korea and India. Though A.I.T. has expressed willingness to sell Taiwan U.S. natural gas, it is hard for me to imagine Taiwan can get more than 5% of its 27.4M MT/yr.

The Battle Over Who Gets U.S. Natural Gas

www.businessweek.com

Gold rush for adaptive-learning market?

The latest issue of TIME magazine has an article, "A Is For Adaptive", which may give a hint for any up-and-coming would-be entrepreneurs to jump into this gold rush for the global $4.6 trillion education market. It has been well-known that one-size-fits-all curriculum is only a compromise in the educational system. Adaptive learning materials for each student is only a dream for many centuries until recently when digital technology is finally mature enough to make it possible. Knewton, a start-up targeting adaptive learning has attracted $33M from investors and has already proven impressive differences in students' learning from its products. Many companies are jumping on this adaptive-learning bandwagon. Since adaptive-learning may have nuanced cultural difference, it may be up for grabs for aspiring programmers and educators to foray into this promising (and lucrative) virgin market in Taiwan.

A Is For Adaptive

No more alpha male

Women accounts for 40.4% of the American households as the sole or major breadwinners nowadays compared with 10.8% more than 50 years ago. And women earn more than men in 15% of all American households. Actually, women college enrollments are 25% more than men's in the U.S. nowadays. The mindset of "alpha male" is guaranteed to subside gradually and steadily.