中國最近的經濟成長消退, 對台灣的影響可能最大. 因為台灣的出口佔GDP的70%, 而台灣的出口有40%銷往中國. 中國假如不能像美國一樣,轉型成以家庭消費為GDP的最大宗, 那中國經濟成長就很難穩定和長久。
Friday, August 28, 2015
Monday, August 24, 2015
Warren Buffett's wrecking ball
全球競爭和生活習慣改變,已經使的幾年前還是牢不可破的美國食品業,起了重大變化。 兩年多前,Warren Buffett 和3G (一家以"高效率"財務整頓聞名的投資公司)以280億美金買下Heinz食品公司. 兩年之內,公司員工裁掉20%, 九成的高階主管離職, 營業額降了5.1%, 市場佔有率掉了65%, 但是投資人的獲利增加38% Warren Buffett 和3G,上個月再以500億美金買下Kraft食品公司和Heinz合併, 這個月就宣布要裁公司員工5%, 連續三年,每年要省下15億美金。 在這個資本掛帥的時代,沒有任何一個工作(公務員除外??)是穩穩當當的。 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-20/kraft-warren-buffett-3g-capital-may-push-cost-cutting
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Serendipity makes a big difference
Sometimes, technology breakthrough needs to wait for serendipity. In the near future, it may be possible to have battery lifespan four times as much as today's Li-on battery; thanks to the fortuitous misstep during the research by a MIT/Tsinghua team. http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21660963-nanotechnological-accident-may-lengthen-battery-lives-tiny-balls-fire
Monday, August 17, 2015
helpful watchdog
Never in my imagination did a US government agency have such a benevolent service to ordinary Americans while intimidating many predatory financial institutions. Within five years, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), stemming from Frank-Dodd bill, emerges as the center that any ordinary American can effectively get the help if you feel you have been exploited by unscrupulous financial institutions. http://time.com/3995779/the-agency-thats-got-your-back/
Sunday, August 16, 2015
Only workaholics survive in Amazon
一個員工超過10萬人的公司, 中間(median)員工的年資只有一年,85%的員工年資少於五年,公司強烈地信奉"目標性達爾文理論" (purposeful Darwinism)來淘汰員工,員工不肯日以繼夜的工作,或是不肯尖銳批評同事的意見,就會面臨自己遭殃的困境,大部分離職員工反而是其他公司網羅的對象(因為在亞馬遜被訓練的刻苦耐勞的理念)。這就是今天紐約時報描述的亞馬遜(Amazon)工作環境. 亞馬遜總裁 Bezos 對他這個雇人裁人,再雇人再裁人,最後僅保留最耐操最能幹的員工的理念深信不疑,而亞馬遜公司在前十幾年,一直在顧客和華爾街的地位居高不下, 而且一直在擴充他的公司規模,不斷地挹注市場創新的理念和創新的產品。這種完全不同於其他公司用人的理念,真的非常特別。 http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/16/technology/inside-amazon-wrestling-big-ideas-in-a-bruising-workplace.html
Saturday, August 15, 2015
wind direction in Tienjin after explosion
Wind direction in Tienjin on Aug. 15 calculated by the "HYSPLIT Trajectory Model" in US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.http://www.ready.noaa.gov/hypub-bin/trajtype.pl
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